Premier League Betting Value Analysis (April 1st)

NEWCASTLE v LIVERPOOL (Sunday 13:30pm Sky Sports 1)

Stats Analysis

Newcastle are priced at a value (3.12), if you fancy a safer option back +0.25 Goals Asian handicap (2.00) or +0 Goals Asian Handicap (2.36) which offer value and keep the draw on side.

The Draw is priced (3.50) which holds little value but must be considered

Liverpool are available at (2.50) which holds no value and their away record at similar opponents holds only 3 wins in the last 10

As for goals Over 2.5 goals (2.00) is good value having featured in 4 of both sides last 6 games against similar opponents, also in all the last 4 head to heads at Newcastle.

Both teams to Score (1.73) holds some value having featured in 7 of Newcastles last 10 home games to similar opponents, also in 3 of the last 4 head to heads at Newcastle.

BetsLayer Value Highlights

Newcastle +0.25 Goals Asian handicap (2.00)

SPURS v SWANSEA  (Sunday 16:00pm Sky Sports 1)

Stats Analysis

Spurs are priced correctly at (1.44) If you do fancy them to win you can improve the price and value by Dutching Spurs to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.00).all the last 8 of Spurs home victories to similar sides have been by 1 or 2 goals and in Swansea's last 5 away defeats. Another option is Spurs Win to Nil (2.37) 7 of Spurs last 10 home victories have been to nil as have the last 3 against similar opponents, also 5 of Swansea last 8 away defeats have been to nil including the last 3. Spurs to win HT/FT is also a strong option featuring in 8 of the last 10 Spurs victories and 6 of the last 7 Swansea defeats. Spurs HT/FT (2.10)

The Draw (4.80) is not priced with any value and doesn't really interest

Swansea are available at (9.0), if you do fancy Swansea there are worse bets than +1.25 Goals on the Asian Handicap (2.00) If Swansea then lose by single goal margin you receive half of your odds.

As for goals Under 2.5 is value at (2.00), this has featured in 6 of Spurs last 10 home games also in 7 of Swansea's last 10 away games. Both Teams to score looks to be priced to avoid at (1.80) on No

BetsLayer Value Highlights

Dutch Spurs to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.00)

Premier League Betting Value Selections (March 31st)

BetsLayer Value Highlights

Aston Villa v Chelsea - Dutch Chelsea to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.30)
Everton v West Brom -  The Draw (3.60)
Fulham v Norwich - The Draw (3.80)
Manchester City v Sunderland - Manchester City to win to nil (1.91)
QPR v Arsenal - QPR +1 goal (2.03)
Wigan v Stoke - The Draw (3.30)
Wolves v Bolton - +0 Goals Asian Handicap (2.36)

Premier League Betting Value Analysis (March 26th)

MANCHESTER UNITED v FULHAM (Monday 20:00pm Sky Sports 1)


Stats Analysis

Manchester United are priced correctly here at (1.25), to improve the price and value take -1.5 goals on the Asian Handicap at (1.80), 5 of Manchester United's last 8 home games against similar opponents have resulted in wins by 2 or more goals, also 4 of Fulham's last 6 away defeats to similar opposition have been by 2 or more goals. Another alternative is the Manchester United HT/FT Result at (1.73) which looks to hold some value having featured in 8 of their last 10 games against similar opposition, Fulham have also lost via the HT/FT result in 6 of their last 8 away defeats to similar opponents.

The Draw is priced at (5.75), which holds little value

Fulham are available at (17.00) which holds no real value, if you do fancy Fulham then your best option maybe +1.50 Goals on the Asian Handicap at (2.20), but as above their recent record at similar opponents doesn't allow for much value or confidence.

As for goals Under 2.5 (2.40) looks to hold value and has featured in 5 of Manchester United's last 9 at home to similar opponents, also in 6 of Fulham's last 9 away games to similar opposition. Under 2.5 goals (2.40). Both Teams to score looks priced correctly with NO at (1.73) and this maybe best left alone.

1st Goal to be scored after 23 mins (1.95) featured in 6 of Manchester United's last 10 home to similar opponents and in 6 of Fulham's last 10 away games against similar opposition.

BetsLayer Value Highlight

1st Goal to be scored after 23 mins (1.95)

Premier League Betting Value Analysis (March 25th)

WEST BROM v NEWCASTLE (Sunday 16:00pm Sky Sports 1)


Stats Analysis

West Brom are available here at (2.30) this offers no value and in the head to heads they have only beaten Newcastle at home once in the last 5 matches. They have though had some good recent results including the 4-0 thrashing of Sunderland and the win against Chelsea. 

The Draw is priced at (3.40) and must be considered strongly here

Newcastle (3.50) looks good value to the ratings although Newcastle have only won 3 times in the last 10 away at similar opponents. If you do fancy Newcastle +0 Goals Asian Handicap (2.45) looks value and keeps the draw on side and for a safer option +0.25 goals Asian Handicap at (2.03).

Its difficult to make a case either way for the Over/Unders, and the bookies seem to have this priced up correctly. Under 2.5 goals (2.00). Both Teams to score also looks mixed and again maybe best left alone.

The Half Time Draw holds some interest and value, its featured in 4 of the last 6 West Brom home games against similar opponents and also in 4 of the last 8 Newcastle away games against similar opponents. Half Time Draw (2.25)

BetsLayer Value Highlight

The Draw (3.40)

Premier League Betting Value Analysis (March 24th)

CHELSEA v SPURS (Saturday 12:45pm Sky Sports 2)

Stats Analysis

Chelsea are priced at (1.95) which looks value considering Chelsea's recent head to head record with 4 wins in the last 5 and Spurs away record to similar opposition where they have lost 5 of the last 8. To improve the price back Chelsea to win by 1 or 2 goals, this has been the margin in all 8 of Chelsea's last 8 victories against similar opposition and the margin in 4 of the last 5 Spurs defeats. Chelsea to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.40)

The Draw available at (3.60) looks value and in a game which is a must win for both sides must be strongly considered.

Spurs (4.33) looks priced about right, if you do fancy Spurs back +0.50 Goals on the Asian Handicap which holds value at (2.03).

As for goals Over 2.5 Goals is priced at (1.80) which is value having featured in 8 of Chelsea's last 10 home games to similar opponents and also in 6 of Spurs last 10 away games to similar opponents. Both Teams to score looks mixed and there is little value in the price of (1.66), so probably best left alone

Finally there could be interest in the Half Time draw, this has featured in 6 of the last 10 Chelsea home games against similar opponents and 3 of the last 4 Spurs away games against similar opposition. Half Time Draw (2.25)

BetsLayer Value Highlight

Chelsea to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.40) 

STOKE v MANCHESTER CITY (Saturday 17:30pm ESPN)

Stats Anlysis

Stoke are priced to win here at (6.00) which holds value, as does +0.75 Goals on the Asian handicap at (2.10). Stoke have only lost 3 of last 10 at home to similar opponents.

The Draw is available at (3.80) which holds some value, but not that much appeal

Manchester City are priced up at (1.62) which holds no value. Dutch Man City to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.14) 6 of Man City's last 8 away victories have come via the 1 or 2 goal margin. Stoke have not lost by more than 2 goals at home in the last 2 seasons.

As for goals Under 2.5 at (1.85) looks to hold some value, 2 or less goals has featured in 7 of Stoke' s last 10 at home to similar opposition, also in 7 of Manchester City's last 10 away games against similar opponents. Both Teams to score looks like one to avoid as it priced correctly at (2.00) the pair.

The Half Time Draw again could interest featuring in all the last 5 Manchester City away games against similar opponents and priced at a healthy looking (2.25)

BetsLayer Value Highlight

Dutch Manchester City to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.14)

BetsLayer Non-TV Value Highlights

Arsenal v Aston Villa = Dutch Arsenal to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.02)

Bolton v Blackburn = Bolton to win (2.30)
Liverpool v Wigan = Dutch Liverpool to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.00)

Swansea v Everton = The Draw (3.40)

Sunderland v QPR = Over 2.5 goals (2.00)
Norwich v Wolves = Norwich to win (1.80)

Premier League Betting Value Analysis (March 21st)

MANCHESTER CITY v CHELSEA (Wednesday 19.45pm Sky Sports 1)

Stats Analysis

Manchester City are priced at (1.91) and with an excellent home record this is great value and City must win to keep the pressure on their neighbours at the top of the Premier League. To improve the price further Dutch Manchester City to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.30), 6 of the last 7 victories against similar opponents have come via this margin has have all of the last 10 Chelsea defeats against similar opposition..

The Draw is available at (3.60) this offers no real value but should be considered in what will be a tight game with so much at stake for both sides.

Chelsea are available at (4.50) and this offers no value or interest. If you do fancy Chelsea to get something  then +0.50 Goals on the Asian Handicap is probably the best option. +0.50 Goals on the Asian Handicap (2.16)

As for goals Over 2.5 at (1.91) holds good value featuring in 12 of Man City's last 15 home matches and also featured in 5 of Chelsea's last 6 away games to similar opponents. Both Teams to Score looks mixed, with No priced at (1.91) having featured in only 2 of Man City's last 10 at home to similar opponents, but not as strongly for Chelsea.

Finally for something a bit different try the 2nd Half to be Highest Scoring (2.10), this looks to offer some value featuring in 5 of Man City's last 8 at home to similar opponents although again the stats are mixed and it doesn't feature as strongly for Chelsea.

BetsLayer Value Highlight

Manchester City to win (1.91)

Premier League Betting Value Analysis (March 20th)

BLACKBURN v SUNDERLAND

Stats Analysis

There is no real value about Blackburn's price here (2.50), in a game with a decent draw bias it makes sense to back +0 goals on the Asian Handicap at (1.73). The draw which must be a strong contender is priced at (3.40).

Sunderland (3.00) offers value given their improved form and W5 D2 L3 record away to similar opponents, FA cup fatigue should be considered though. If you fancy Sunderland to do well +0 Goals Asian Handicap (2.25) looks value.

As for goals, Over 2.5 (2.00) looks good value and has featured in 10 of Blackburn's last 15 at home and also in 5 of Sunderland's last 7 away games to similar opponents. Both teams to score looks mixed, featuring in 11 of the last 15 for Blackburn, but in only 7 of the last 15 Sunderland away games, priced at (1.72) its one to leave alone.

BetsLayer Value Highlight

The draw (3.40)